quinta-feira, outubro 18, 2012

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Como de costume o Verão prolongou-se por Setembro e com ele as nuvens negras pendentes sobre Portugal pareciam esfumar-se com os ventos de mudança vindos do FMI, BCE e da União Europeia, a famosa Troika que por essa altura começou a aperceber-se que a austeridade em doses cavalares fazia o efeito contrário ao pretendido, levando-os a tornarem-se mais tolerantes quanto a prazos e políticas de crescimento.

E o que fez Pedro Passos Coelho (PPC)? Bem, o nosso PM em vez de aproveitar a onda de mudança e renegociar o empréstimo que a Troika nos fez, inventou o agravamento da TSU em 7%!

"Isto vai permitir o aumento da competitividade das nossas empresas!" - Disse PPC, convencido de que tinha reinventado a roda.

Só que esta ideia genial, por certo cantada por António Borges ao nosso PM, conseguiu a proeza de irritar por igual empresários e trabalhadores, cidadãos da esquerda à direita, em suma, virou 99% da população contra o aumento da TSU, levando a uma manifestação espontânea a 15 de Setembro onde cerca de um milhão de pessoas (10% da população!) manifestou o seu repúdio pela medida.

Aparentemente surpreendido por tal reacção negativa e com a coligação governamental em perigo (Paulo Portas não é parvo), PPC lá recuou a contragosto na medida do agravamento da TSU.

E o que fez saltar a tampa a tanta gente? Simples, anteviram o que vinha aí: Perda de poder de compra, quebra acentuada  nas vendas das empresas, mais desemprego, etc. Isto em troca de uma mão cheia de  nada...

Então e não haveria consequências positivas? Só se antevia uma, que seriam as empresas exportadoras terem uma redução marginal nos custos, mas isso também poderia ser obtido com uma redução da TSU só para elas (Desde que Berlim desse o seu aval, claro...), o que obrigaria a medidas menos gravosas para a financiar.

Mais grave ainda, o aumento da TSU passava ao lado do grande desígnio do país, que é pagar o empréstimo da Troika, ou seja, ao tirar parte da contribuição para a Segurança Social de um lado para sobrecarregar o outro, nominalmente esta medida teria efeitos nulos no combate ao défice e seria assim independente das medidas de taxação sobre o rendimento que agora estão na berlinda, aumentando ainda mais a quebra de rendimento para os trabalhadores (7% da TSU+4% do aumento de escalão de IRS+Sobretaxa...), a recessão e o aumento do défice.

Tudo isto contribuiu para a situação pantanosa em que nos encontramos, depois de anos a ouvir os nossos políticos dizerem que não éramos a Grécia (Faz lembrar quando os marroquinos dizem aos turistas: "Não somos fanáticos como na Argélia!"), onde os partidos do governo não se entendem, os da oposição não têm alternativas de jeito, as reformas económicas são uma miragem, os escândalos de corrupção nascem como cogumelos e a população oscila entre a resignação revoltada e a revolta resignada, só nos falta surgir uma Aurora Dourada para completar o quadro...  

 Não acreditam? Os gregos também eram tendencialmente de esquerda, também vieram de uma ditadura fascista e ainda por cima sofreram horrores nas mãos dos nazis...

...Agora têm um partido neonazi no Parlamento. Basta esta situação em Portugal prolongar-se mais um, dois anos e veremos o PNR a crescer, aliás, não é coincidência os cartazes desse partido estarem cada vez mais disseminados, nem me admiraria que adoptassem entretanto as tácticas da Aurora Dourada, como uma Sopa dos Pobres só para os nacionais e outras medidas populares entre as camadas mais desprotegidas da população.

Afinal a cartilha para obter apoio popular dos extremistas tanto é válida na Palestina como na Grécia ou em Portugal...Basta ter as condições certas e passá-la à prática.

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